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Toluca vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/13/2025]

Publicado el: September 14, 2025

Updated: | First published:

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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Get Toluca vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Saturday.

Toluca and Puebla will lock horns in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, starting at 11:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers’ advanced Liga MX model projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today’s game.

For further insights into Saturday’s matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Puebla predictions page.

Toluca vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday’s Liga MX game between Toluca and Puebla 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 73.8% chance of Toluca winning, a 10.6% chance for Puebla, and a 15.6% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Puebla odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Toluca Puebla Draw
Moneyline -300 +750 +450

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Puebla picks and best bets

Our model’s strongest edge in today’s Toluca vs. Puebla matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
TOL 2-0 PUE 10.5%
TOL 2-1 PUE 9.2%
TOL 3-0 PUE 9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.1% chance that both Toluca and Puebla score, and a 45.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team’s average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details

Saturday’s game between Toluca and Puebla at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to start at 11:00PM ET.

  • Who: Toluca vs. Puebla
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 11:00PM ET/8:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers’ full preview of Saturday’s Toluca vs. Puebla matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Puebla vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 73.8% win probability on Saturday, Puebla has a 10.6% win probability, and there is a 15.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Puebla insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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